Quarterback Aaron Rodgers poses as he & Zenith unveil his limited edition design in New York City. Randy Brooke/FilmMagic

Aaron Rodgers as VP candidate? Election odds for RFK Jr., Independent Party

Originally posted on Action Network | By Andrew Lynch | Last updated 3/12/24

I promise you, what you are about to read is a real sentence: Potential independent 2024 presidential election candidate Robert F. Kennedy has reportedly reached out to Aaron Rodgers about potentially being his vice presidential running mate for this November's election.

That's according to the New York Times, which reported on Tuesday afternoon that RFK Jr. had floated the idea to both Rodgers and Jesse Ventura, the former professional wrestler and former governor of Minnesota. According to the Times, "Mr. Kennedy confirmed on Tuesday that the two men were at the top of his list." The Times also reports that both have "welcomed the overtures."

So what are the odds that Aaron Rodgers could end up being one step removed from the presidency? To answer that question, let's turn to the election odds for an RFK Jr. win in the 2024 presidential election or for any independent or third-party candidate to win the White House.

In the most recent odds from BetMGM UK, Kennedy had +3300 odds to win the 2024 presidential election behind Vice President Kamala Harris (+2500), California Governor Gavin Newsom (+1700), President Joe Biden (+200), and the current betting favorite Donald Trump (-125).

2024 Presidential Election Predictions, Odds

Candidate	Election Odds	Chance to Win Election
Donald Trump	-125	53.08%
Joe Biden	+200	31.85%
Gavin Newsom	+1700	5.31%
Kamala Harris	+2500	3.67%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	+3300	2.81%
Michelle Obama	+4000	2.33%
Nikki Haley	+10000	0.95%

Odds via BetMGM UK. Implied probability is "fair" implied probability, without the vigorish. Click here to learn more about that concept, which is important in betting and using odds to evaluate the chances of something happening. Sportsbooks cannot offer political betting in the United States.

Both Biden and Trump are close to securing enough delegates to officially gain the nominations for their respective political parties and Kennedy is running a third-party campaign in the race. It is unlikely that Rodgers, Ventura, or any other running mate that Kennedy chooses, would end up as the Vice President of the United States based on the odds and election history.